No forecast made so far on Cambodia’s economic growth this year has showed a positive rate, but “World Bank’s October 2020 Economic Update for East Asia and the Pacific” predicted a better rate than other financial institutions.
According to the World Bank, on a positive note, the World Bank said Cambodia’s domestic demand had been gradually returning, as well as having good prospects with current bilateral trade negotiations, forecasting economic growth of 4.3 percent in 2021 and 5.2 percent in 2022.
It has however forecasted a contraction of negative two percent for the Cambodia’s economy this year, as COVID-19 has continued to spread over the world, with adverse impacts on household welfare and increased poverty likely, the report pointed out.
With the easing of social distancing measures, Cambodia’s domestic economic activity has been gradually returning to normalcy. Domestic demand including domestic travel and tourism is picking up.
Recently, the ASEAN+3 Macroeconomic Research Office (AMRO) has forecasted Cambodia’s GDP growth to be similar as that of the Asian Development Bank (ADB)’s Asian Development Outlook (ADO) 2020 Update.
AMRO has predicted that this year Cambodia’s economic growth will be -4.5 percent and will grow to 5.4 percent next year, a bit lower than ADO’s forecast of 5.5 percent.
ADB’s annual flagship economic publication, forecasts a 4.0 percent contraction for Cambodia’s gross domestic product in 2020, compared to its June forecast of a 5.5 percent contraction. Heng Panha – AKP
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